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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81398

Strindheim VS Rosenborg II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.22%
Draw
18.58%
Away
19.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2141
Log loss
0.4745

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
2c7fa7e322edd80c0b1daccf536b7ee9b142c35c4c2478c35fa2ba2cd9a84374

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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