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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8133

Ulfstind VS Bossekop

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.98%
Draw
32.78%
Away
47.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.4258
Log loss
0.7500

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:20 UTC
SHA-256
0aa732ce18a0e78bd723bb96ed4998f7b9bb12fd713823fb3081b03156a0cc90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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