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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81188

Oxford City VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.93%
Draw
23.28%
Away
31.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4585
Log loss
0.8001

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
SHA-256
60e7462159a736efaf15510b3ba1e011301d9961a36e3a48b3aaacde5bf69d5d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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