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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81132

Cucuta VS Deportivo Pereira

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 21:05 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.71%
Draw
26.97%
Away
24.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3949
Log loss
0.7192

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
SHA-256
422ef9727a6c78c9e1f259a9c3e65b4a8d10b17fca825c34702832e0d7b250b5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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