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Frozen pre-match forecast · #80992

Ankaragucu VS İnegölspor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.38%
Draw
25.07%
Away
28.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4319
Log loss
0.7683

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
SHA-256
645df3b8343b9da1f0d687905473d030ded9ce29b1c47b2c2879d83f7af1602f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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