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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8089

Middlesbrough U18 VS Blackburn Rovers U18

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.22%
Draw
32.42%
Away
32.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6295
Log loss
1.0436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
259ab54e50aae85b6b6c6b4bc51d4aff830ffd46340d4442d57af3bea08fe735

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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