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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8068

Górnik Zabrze U19 VS Śląsk Wrocław U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.77%
Draw
38.58%
Away
37.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5941
Log loss
0.9768

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
93d4c9d72970dc765e47f25d27d927a9bf821f8d714057b5d1c23b91258c866d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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