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Frozen pre-match forecast · #80659

Velká Bíteš VS Bedrichov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
83.77%
Draw
11.56%
Away
4.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0419
Log loss
0.1771

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
SHA-256
8f243e6f65f5e1284aa52506644860508b65450efd4849af7f2f33fa8d621fae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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