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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8052

Monza U20 VS Internazionale U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.63%
Draw
32.35%
Away
49.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3992
Log loss
0.7128

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
8498bdf954bdd996b46d88307fe4b91ed389a95096355cdf2b04c9240edc4ef6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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