Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #80088

Golden Kicks VS Koforidua

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.17%
Draw
28.85%
Away
38.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7617
Log loss
1.2431

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
f39d1c7bbad34450e4e35852392ce3393584b73f604effa2a301ec751019f33f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →