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Frozen pre-match forecast · #79909

Cham VS Bulle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.44%
Draw
23.46%
Away
28.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8065
Log loss
1.2691

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
5434a29d0bd2d2eeadff55d4c56e537e2a16abaa397222f06f62f376e5fcf699

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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