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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7985

SC Farense U19 VS Sporting CP U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.67%
Draw
44.08%
Away
43.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5324
Log loss
0.8382

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
9b84e88d5da1bcb66a15499db52a7b031f43416d325e01fbaa67bd9cc600c0ff

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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