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Frozen pre-match forecast · #79816

Hajdina VS Odranci

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.72%
Draw
23.09%
Away
40.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8879
Log loss
1.4658

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
10db5fa49f101b8573fc196d1f0bf75d693724f0e0fb9c7d9c6e7387bb0d8a59

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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