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Frozen pre-match forecast · #79714

Pirin Razlog VS Levski Sofia II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.37%
Draw
27.30%
Away
37.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5924
Log loss
0.9854

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
f3df3deeeefc8eef015eb3129b70cea702cfaf82a2331537cfef5257139cc9b4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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