Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #79706

Candango VS Canaa EC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.50%
Draw
24.94%
Away
52.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3379
Log loss
0.6433

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
340ffc30c1f38e7c06e90d4aed25bebb0c1a17c90c61413606d529aaef3e9500

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →