Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #79186

Jitex W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.94%
Draw
21.20%
Away
51.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8477
Log loss
1.3116

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
b7bed984c2f30c11812e921489c195f21e0d5e618ee640430984f2f7d8352101

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →