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Frozen pre-match forecast · #79092

Ulaangom City VS Hunters

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
3.26%
Draw
6.16%
Away
90.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.0137
Log loss
0.0989

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:31 UTC
SHA-256
48f7c12245cf63fabf2cd37cc5c9c9ff4f0cad5cf8e9e52784084ca2b0586d34

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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