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Frozen pre-match forecast · #78797

Oman VS Kuwait

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:30 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.47%
Draw
26.36%
Away
28.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4461
Log loss
0.7880

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:30 UTC
SHA-256
3406e00524c75f7f4fff1f735ee08f2119a22a80c0e73787f6fb07294d22548b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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