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Frozen pre-match forecast · #78790

Odense Q VS AGF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:30 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.20%
Draw
25.31%
Away
45.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7723
Log loss
1.2310

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:30 UTC
SHA-256
95679b97d273b1d1ff14da3e094924e7084c525c78e5ac479654981ee83f10af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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