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Frozen pre-match forecast · #78555

Congo VS Cameroon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:29 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.24%
Draw
22.77%
Away
62.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0134
Log loss
1.4796

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:29 UTC
SHA-256
82cc74141802698ecf33be7b91c4424c36f3e15af906c8310ebe2d4f4f14db6f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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