Frozen pre-match forecast · #78468
Jaguares VS Deportes Tolima
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 22:00 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 21:05 UTC
- Record status
- Forecast retained
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 32.60%
- Draw
- 28.05%
- Away
- 39.35%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
Waiting for the final result
This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.
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Explore additional markets, team probability history and opponent-adjusted form. Historical coverage varies by match.
About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 27 Sep 2026 · 22:00 UTC
- SHA-256
- 035d4fd69699d3788641a33c3b9a5de72d623033d73554f66a7dd9cf77fdae13
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.