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Frozen pre-match forecast · #78384

Al Shahaniya VS Al-Duhail SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.79%
Draw
24.98%
Away
44.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4681
Log loss
0.8156

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
SHA-256
aaaebd481b5437202a36edb481dc65878f1c60cd29287630457f94d25f5cfaa4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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