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Frozen pre-match forecast · #78368

Grafičar VS Teleoptik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.55%
Draw
24.97%
Away
26.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3972
Log loss
0.7226

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
SHA-256
01a9e3405e3491bd766c30381b8ebc26a0f0ac875a97c17cdea741bf314a8d76

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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