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Frozen pre-match forecast · #77713

Selangor VS Imigresen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.42%
Draw
9.04%
Away
4.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.6666
Log loss
3.0943

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
c8df0ce1f1bd0b42c7674eb13f7c45ffe4b3d1f1369855690a6379787e869228

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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