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Frozen pre-match forecast · #77468

Persis Solo VS Dejan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.16%
Draw
20.35%
Away
13.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0903
Log loss
1.5922

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
6cdf739999bd9a7288d23b4be62b54ded200602d5c3b2e1d80bd083eba33a77f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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