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Frozen pre-match forecast · #77465

Zlín II VS Hranice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.66%
Draw
25.61%
Away
34.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6489
Log loss
1.0576

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
2c648de5649cf0e551df354c84a39eab6c9bee7d83b727c5755548c4a7509330

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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