Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #77458

Malženice VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.20%
Draw
26.29%
Away
42.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.4970
Log loss
0.8554

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
62aa6b5d27fe7d27f088c103ed4828b6720e0fdbb885515d618e835f3cc58ff7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →