Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #77321

Macclesfield VS Scarborough Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.99%
Draw
24.77%
Away
26.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
f56b371d113810b93f2dff6ac83c68fa79ecc051b2a3da9f05cd4f495acd2c9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →