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Frozen pre-match forecast · #77289

Sol de América VS Cipolletti

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.47%
Draw
29.67%
Away
22.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4162
Log loss
0.7451

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
afb3c0f857596b510bb7aaf28687774ba27e2fc27d6ccea36dcd97ca033a2a85

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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