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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7725

Vipers VS Ntugasaze

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.88%
Draw
33.23%
Away
16.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3901
Log loss
0.6955

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
43b73c1ca56d6e67e04933820277634c15721f97b1cdc3a7d171991f2c6fcd6f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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