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Frozen pre-match forecast · #77173

Azazga VS JSM Skikda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.24%
Draw
26.52%
Away
24.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3867
Log loss
0.7085

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
5e095e2cf5072d966917f6f8133ef1ee6998853d6dff28fc14b8649a3453ea0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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