Frozen pre-match forecast · #77171
Sarasota Paradise VS Charlotte Independence
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 51.94%
- Draw
- 22.57%
- Away
- 25.49%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.8759
- Log loss
- 1.3669
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- 64fad2a735306aeaac967254a54b73f7eb7b97c4a46319da4c160ea3c3d2b402
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.