Frozen pre-match forecast · #76966
San Juan VS Subiza
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 50.24%
- Draw
- 25.90%
- Away
- 23.86%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3716
- Log loss
- 0.6884
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- b3a4c4786cd1b7ae5a3ec5c244a47cdd840752a03bec23118471f6f2d6984eed
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.