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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7686

Buducnost Podgorica VS Petrovac

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.22%
Draw
41.10%
Away
18.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5612
Log loss
0.9108

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
64b12d62d72980c75cfb7a1feff13041d6c06d3eb6c7292f6cfadc37e278316f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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