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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76768

Haddington Athletic VS Cumbernauld Colts

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.78%
Draw
23.25%
Away
33.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6731
Log loss
1.0797

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
0c34c760ead58617d1f0b3817e1595a9323ab77733b3270a978a304313c9d6bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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