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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76752

Bidezarra VS Beti Onak

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.88%
Draw
27.33%
Away
29.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8007
Log loss
1.2972

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
98d05fffe4b7afdbb0f8bfa82c82da0c34ec424103613a6849ffeaf1d8c7abdd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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