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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76511

FK Romanija Pale VS Laktaši

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.45%
Draw
17.77%
Away
71.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3487
Log loss
2.2586

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
87c599bc2f046576d42804601e4dd86db68a9be47c3e88c9599f378df8cb2d55

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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