Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #76293

Skive VS HIK

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.10%
Draw
24.25%
Away
22.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3301
Log loss
0.6330

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
f2f0606c8e2e53acfd21d6db3e905db5399f2f9907aabf61aa91437fea282aa4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →