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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76195

Enköping VS Gefle IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.11%
Draw
24.36%
Away
28.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4205
Log loss
0.7527

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2acf4727b9f0b56aa5b4e14a152f1d8486feecaf7e226674d5a66adaf1399fda

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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