Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #76137

Sigma Olomouc II VS Vítkovice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.73%
Draw
25.33%
Away
24.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3791
Log loss
0.6986

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
21bf0efabcd274e26f155e6ae297712ac9d54d259583e9ddab967a8799665aa3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →