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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76039

Bray Wanderers VS Cobh Ramblers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.60%
Draw
21.64%
Away
20.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
1.0067
Log loss
1.5725

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
96ebcc5626d7bcc6fc0cef0902d464f0b65ac7f67df012987adee2397424daeb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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