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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76029

Inter de Minas VS Santarritense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.12%
Draw
21.87%
Away
15.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2064
Log loss
0.4601

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
7d1a6a8feead295bb2a44c5aad2cc22c6a253f10acf84c9142682d763c897f88

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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