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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7596

Flacăra Moreni VS Păuleşti

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
0.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1250
Log loss
1.3863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
5e80a0e009744f14a7424e2266df4d300a1f0458d78be7e9e2ee3d94f64d8dfb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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