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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75937

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla VS Team

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.87%
Draw
30.33%
Away
27.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5071
Log loss
0.8705

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
dea6ce746e3c91f096bb8f9dfdaef97ce33b2ec2373b7349e2be89a280054f32

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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