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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7590

Lucko VS Dugo Selo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.24%
Draw
34.87%
Away
33.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6562
Log loss
1.0821

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
b3dbb5a397ec0f139759c1f57ad2fefddcd93ae529afa5bc054f716e59acd27e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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