Frozen pre-match forecast · #75817
Al Shamal VS Muaither SC
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 68.32%
- Draw
- 17.32%
- Away
- 14.36%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.1510
- Log loss
- 0.3810
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
- SHA-256
- 21b7ef0a3f1cf3770d624c3def1ac72c4e2b3234966755cbcb8147b999771aa9
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.