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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75806

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa VS Hapoel Acre

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.56%
Draw
19.80%
Away
13.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1696
Log loss
0.4071

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
9205ae15e521df5834946ca69ee23b485198b5794880b92e125c44b1ea763969

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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