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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75796

Bahla VS Fanja

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 14:25 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
71.32%
Draw
16.98%
Away
11.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1248
Log loss
0.3380

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
a5eb853155116e241e4854153f708bb7f65a2cba9e9ad14951a38a62533a73ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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