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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75743

FC Wohlen VS Schötz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.94%
Draw
23.25%
Away
45.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.4435
Log loss
0.7808

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
ad34fe4a504b79fcb241ed2ebe3d11fe9266c9916bd56b87b55f10e37a1f1404

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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