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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75573

Boreham Wood VS Kidderminster Harriers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.19%
Draw
19.52%
Away
15.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1827
Log loss
0.4279

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
ce79e34ece1e1daaa1b5c7343f9f2211c940e659b0b814bd3dec0f13cef8904a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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